Why Sales Figures Mean Little

by Andrzej Gorecki

[As published in Retail Directions, Issue 7, 1996]

It would be difficult to find a retail company which is not focused on sales. Sales figures are seen as the very essence of a retail business and as such are watched closely. Hence, the title of this article may have caught you by surprise.

But the fact is that sales figures are of little operational value, because they cannot be directly influenced by the retailer. They are just abstract numbers, computed by multiplying two more elementary variables: the number of customers, and your average sales transaction size.

This may appear to be just a mathematical permutation, but it has profound practical implications. It means that to improve sales results, the retailer must focus on increasing the number of customers coming through the doors, and then on selling them more. Once these two elementary factors are maximised, the sales figures take care of themselves. This may sound obvious, but many retailers have spent years wondering how to increase their sales, instead of simply focusing on getting more customers and selling them more.

The main reason for this misdirected effort is historical. Until recently, we haven't had the technology to track sales by transaction. Total sales figures, sometimes broken down by department, were all we had. Even today, we still derive the average transaction size by dividing the total sales by the number of customers, thus incorrectly implying that the transaction size is secondary information.

Since in reality the transaction size and the number of customers are all that matter, the core issue is this: how can customer numbers and transaction size be improved?

Let us start with the transaction size: to increase it, you need to sell more to those who come through your doors. Mind you, the well-known concept of the add-on sale is not enough. The main factor which lowers the average transaction size is the absence of a sale in the first place — there is nothing to add-on to. These are the people who call in and walk away with nothing.

Few retailers pay attention to such prospects. They are rarely counted, and usually escape the calculation of the average transaction size. If they were to be included, exposing the real sales performance, many retailers would suffer heart failure. Do you know how many of your potential customers come in and buy nothing? If you don't, find out as soon as possible.

Here are four specific suggestions to increase your transaction size:

  • Make sure you are in-stock. Many sales are lost when you don't have what you claim to sell. Control your service level and optimise your stock holding.
  • Make sure that you stock what people expect to buy from you. Many retailers who measure their out-of- stocks do so in relation to their current range only. From a customer's perspective, this is not good enough. If they expect to buy something in your store, you should range it.
  • Periodically review your range at a category level, to make sure that you don't lose sales by failing to stock new or fashionable categories. Some years ago a hardware chain decided not to stock microwave ovens in their Home Appliances division and many potential sales were lost. However, the chain had not even considered these as out-of-stocks. "We don't sell microwaves".
  • Educate your staff in selling techniques, and add-on selling in particular. Make sure that you employ staff with the right attitude; they must enjoy selling. You owe it to your customers — you must add value to their purchases. No retail business in the '90s can afford passive staff who just wait for someone to buy from them.

Now, let us consider the other issue: how to increase the number of customers?

Surprisingly, this is quite simple, although not always easy. There are basically two things you can do: you can convince your existing customers to call more often, and you can get new customers. The latter is usually preferable, as selling more often to existing customers may merely bring the purchase forward, hurting your sales results in the longer term.

Working with these two groups of people requires different approaches. Your existing customers have already dealt with you; they just need to be convinced to repeat that experience more often. This may require a special offer or a claim that your business has improved — e.g. new range, new services, or new store decor. Note that all such claims must be legitimate, otherwise you will quickly suffer the consequences of lost credibility.

As far as new customers are concerned, either they have never bought from you or they have deserted you in the past. The 'deserters' can often be attracted back if you admit your past 'sins', but you can only do that if you know what the problem was, and if you have since rectified it.

Those who have never had any experience with your organisation are the hardest to convince — they need to be attracted into what is for them unfamiliar territory. A good way to start is to survey such people about their needs and perceptions of your business, and to pitch your promotional campaign accordingly; if your business is in a position to genuinely say what your potential customers want to hear, say it.

Also, be aware that the most efficient method of attracting new customers is via referrals from your existing customers. This requires competence in all aspects of your business to prevent customer dissatisfaction, along with the pursuit of excellence in one chosen area. The latter is needed to develop a unique selling proposition, your "claim to fame" if you wish — a strong reason for your customers to talk positively about your organisation.

If you embark on such a multi-pronged attack, i.e. to be in stock, improve your range, introduce new stock categories, actively offer add-on items, attract your current, past and potential customers, your sales are guaranteed to increase dramatically.

Conversely, those retailers who persist in focusing directly on increasing their sales will continue to struggle. As in sport, a desire to improve your score is not enough; you must continually improve your technique and practice more. Your score is just a reflection of these elementary variables.

This is why for an astute retailer the actual sales figures mean little. It is only the number of customers and the average transaction size which really matter. As long as these two are growing; your sales figures will grow even faster.

Andrzej Gorecki is a Director and principal consultant with Melbourne-based Retail Directions Group, which develops and supplies state-of-the-art software solutions for retailers worldwide.

Copyright (c) 1996 Andrzej Gorecki

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